#Election2016 – What You Need to Know About Jockeying for the American Presidency

#election2016 Cambria Press publisher book author review

If there is one book to read to follow and make sense of the 2016 presidential election, it is Dr. Lara M. Brown’s Jockeying for the American Presidency. In her groundbreaking book, Dr. Brown called long ago what pundits are saying today.

Cambria Press Publication:
Jockeying for the American Presidency by Lara M. Brown

For example, Dr. Brown already predicted that

“the presidential selection method does not appear to be working as it had in the past—in terms of favoring experienced aspirants—and this may be a cause for concern.”

She also noted that “there has been a decrease in the level of experience, which may well continue to worsen over time.”

In terms of who would win, she first explained that:

“Aspirants not only vie for intraparty support, but they also compete against those whom they believe are aspirants from the opposition party, trying to prove that their party is the better of the two. Hoping to garner support from weakly aligned voters and groups connected to the opposition party (religious, racial, and ethnic groups have often been the targets of interparty competition), they steal each other’s phrases and policies, reworking them to suit their own needs.”

The ones likely to win their party nominations are the ones who:

“tend to perceive the entirety of the game—the opportunities in the system—and they work continuously to align their short-term interests (e.g., party influence, appreciation, and/or respect) with their long-term goals (e.g., the presidency), moving the puzzle pieces to fit with their ideal picture.”

On whether breadth or depth of experience is more important, and why:

“breadth is an asset, whereas depth is a liability for presidential aspirants. As was mentioned earlier, it may be that depth of experience promotes rigidity because an aspirant is forced to react to fewer challenges and greater redundancies, whereas more breadth of experience encourages more flexibility and resiliency because an aspirant is asked to react to novelty and competition. It may also be that those who are more innately opportunistic—perceptive, creative, adaptable—self-select into more positions, thus pursuing more breadth and less depth in their careers.”

Ultimately, Dr. Brown asserted in her book that:

“Presidential aspirants who have more breadth of political experience than depth of political experience, who have higher levels of opportunism, and who have run previously for the White House are more likely to earn larger percentages of the electoral votes than those who do not possess these characteristics.”

Learn more about Jockeying for the American Presidency and read the rave reviews this book has earned. This book is part of the groundbreaking Cambria Press PIPPA (Politics, Institutions, and Public Policy in America) Series headed by Scott Frisch and Sean Kelly (CSU Channel Islands).

#2016Election #APSA2015 #GOPDebate Cambria Press publication review

#2016Election: Jockeying for the American Presidency by Lara M. Brown (George Washington University)

About the author: Lara M. Brown, PhD, is an associate professor and the program director of the Political Management Program in the Graduate School of Political Management at The George Washington University. Dr. Brown also served in President William J. Clinton’s administration at the U.S. Department of Education. Follow her on Twitter @LaraMBrownPHD and on US News.

Lara Brown

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Jockeying for the American Presidency

#2016Election #APSA2015 Cambria Press publication author review

#APSA2015 Lara Brown will be chairing PRESIDENTS IN CONTEXT: POLITICAL TIME AND POLARIZATION on Saturday at 8 a.m. (Hilton, Powell Room) and is the discussant for PRESIDENTIAL COMMUNICATION IN A POLARIZED AGE (Hilton, Franciscan D) at 4:15 p.m.

Cambria Press publication

Jockeying for the American Presidency
(Chapter Excerpts)

Chapter 1: Presidential Selection and Aspirant Opportunism

“…to say that all presidents are opportunists does not mean that they are all the same. As previously mentioned, the opportunism of the presidents most probably varies across the individuals who have held the office. Aside from innate character differences and aptitudes, each president acquired his opportunistic abilities from a unique set of professional and political experiences (e.g., legal practice, military service, partisan campaign activity, and other elected or appointed office), which includes their presidential campaign. Through trial and error as well as observation and imitation, they discovered which behaviors and attitudes—personal style—worked best for them in the political arena. Through the instruction of others, they also learned the more general strategies known to turn political opportunities to one’s advantage (e.g., “the enemy of my enemy is my friend”). Each president also tends to possess a “trick” or two that they rely on to make the most of the situations they find themselves in. Further, each president is likely to exploit opportunities in the ways that are most suitable to his time. Thus, although opportunism is a common trait among the presidents, it does not always show itself in a similar manner.”

Chapter 2: Parties, Aspirants, and Opportunities in History

“The major-party nominees are typically equally and highly qualified (experienced, opportunistic, etc.), and as such, the outcome of the general election does not necessarily turn on the aspirant (unless that aspirant is an incumbent president or their opponent possesses a substantially low level of aspirant opportunism), but instead on exogenous factors (e.g., the economy) and political conditions (e.g., each party’s prior electoral success). Still, the estimates reveal that these personal characteristics (breadth of experience, opportunism, etc.) help presidential aspirants win. That said, the presidential selection method does not appear to be working as it had in the past—in terms of favoring experienced aspirants—and this may be a cause for concern.”

Chapter 3: Presidential Winners from the Early Party Era

“The presidential aspirants in the Early Party Era guided the establishment of the two major political parties in America. The institutions they created, although they continuously changed, persisted because each presidential aspirant developed structures, procedures, and networks to help him win. The structures that they built to communicate a persuasive message and move people to the polls became more sophisticated over time as more people were included in the political process. The challenge these aspirants created for future aspirants was how to control these inherited structures and how to ensure that one’s party continues to serve the aspirant’s ambition, rather than the other way around.”

Chapter 4: Presidential Winners from the Strong Party Era

“Unlike the previous aspirants who rose to power by balancing partisanship and republican statesmanship, the aspirants from the Strong Party Era were successful because they balanced partisanship with the democratic demands for political reform.”

Chapter 5: Presidential Winners from the Modern Party Era

“This chapter considers some of the recent changes in the presidential selection process and presents case studies of Ronald Reagan, William J. Clinton, and George W. Bush. These stories reveal that whereas these modern aspirants exhibited opportunistic behaviors (resilience, tenacity, flexibility, etc.) similar to their predecessors, they were more dependent on the strategies crafted by political professionals than the aspirants from previous eras.”

Chapter 6: Presidential Losers from Each Era

“[…] losers, like winners, structure the context within which winners win. This chapter investigates three high-profile presidential losers (one from each of the three political eras): Henry Clay, Thomas Dewey, and John Kerry. These cases were chosen because they involved experienced, credible aspirants who lost elections that were competitive and closely decided. In short, they could have won, but they did not. Further, these contests seem to have turned on the losers’ missteps rather than the winners’ achievements. Hence, these losers appear to have created opportunities for the winners to win.”

Chapter 7: An Abundance of Opportunism: The 2008 Presidential Election

“On reflection, a few features about the 2008 election stand out. First, aspirant opportunism abounded. Throughout the nomination contests, the front-runners were looking for ways to game the rules, crafting their rhetoric to appeal to subsets of voters they were targeting, and adapting, imitating, and improvising their strategies on the fly. Although Obama’s team was the most successful in terms of executing the plan they originally designed, they also found themselves having to reposition and outmaneuver their opponents’ successful strategies. Second, along the way in the multiple competitions that take place during a campaign, the losses of the winners as well as the legacies left by the losers—both intentional and unplanned—structured the field as much as the winners’ achievements.. Third, until the economic collapse, the boosts of momentum that the different candidates enjoyed, particularly during the nomination contests, were surprisingly moderate. They were more ephemeral than in campaigns past, suggesting perhaps how successful many of these aspirants were in prodding their supporters to challenge the national media memes on the Internet and to engage in local activities—whether they were meet-ups, rallies, or town halls—and thus alter the state of the race.”

Conclusion: Opportunistic Aspirants and the Methods of Selection

“It should be understood that presidents are politicians whose behaviors are structured by the Electoral College and the path they pursued to earn their party’s nomination. Although their constituency is all of America, their electoral success is achieved through partisan and federal structures. Lastly, while eliminating the Electoral College may satisfy the aims of some reformers, it may also prove detrimental to not only the quality of the aspirants fielded and the presidents selected, but also to the security of the nation and the stability of its constitutional design. Thus, as the Framers understood, a presidential selection process is inextricably connected to executive power— altering the method changes the authority—and to neglect this in the study of the presidency is imprudent and may even be foolhardy.”

About the author: Lara M. Brown, Ph.D., is an associate professor and the program director of the Political Management Program in the Graduate School of Political Management at The George Washington University. Follow her on Twitter: @LaraMBrownPHD.

This book is part of the Politics, Institutions, and Public Policy in America (PIPPA) book series  (Editors: Scott Frisch and Sean Kelly). See more well-reviewed books in the Cambria Press PIPPA Series.

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#2016Election: What you need to know about Jockeying for the American Presidency

#2016Election #APSA2015 #GOPDebate Cambria Press publication review

#2016Election: Jockeying for the American Presidency by Lara M. Brown (George Washington University)

If you’re looking to make sense of the 2016 presidential elections after last night’s Republican debate and trying to understand these candidates who are Jockeying for the American Presidency, this is the book.

As Dr. Lara M. Brown (Associate Professor & Program Director, Political Management Masters, Graduate School of Political Management, George Washington University) stated in her highly acclaimed book:

It is about understanding how presidential aspirants turn political conditions and exogenous events to their favor in order to promote their ambitions. … it is about how aspirants learn and play at the game of presidential politics. “

Read the rave reviews for this book and order from Cambria Press. 

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#2016Election #GOPDebate #POTUS #MustRead

Bush-Clinton 2016: Back to the Future?

Bush Clinton 2016

President Bush or Clinton in 2016?

Just as this op-ed by Dr. Robert Alexander was published by the Plain Dealer, Mitt Romney announced that he would be dropping out of the  2016 presidential race, causing some to speculate that he was clearing the way for Jeb Bush. However, will the Bush-Clinton 2016 race materialize? If so, will we go back to the future with a President Bush or Clinton? According to Dr. Alexander, “Instead of going back to the future, those who run the farthest from Washington will likely cross their party’s finish line first.” Dr. Alexander’s research on the electoral college and presidential electors has him well-placed to make such a prediction, noting that “What members of the Electoral College think matters” and that “while many of these partisans would like to see Clinton or Bush at the top of their party’s tickets, we are decidedly in an anti-Washington era.” Learn how the electoral college and presidential electors affect who becomes the president of the United States by reading the highly praised Presidential Electors and the Electoral College (part of the PIPPA series by political scientists Scott Frisch and Sean Kelly).

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APSA 2013 – Best Part – Meeting happy authors and reading their just-published op-eds!

Cambria Press academic publisher Author Robert Alexander

Cambria Press Author Robert Alexander

Today’s featured author is Robert Alexander, professor of political science and department chair at Ohio Northern University, whose well-praised book Presidential Electors and the Electoral College has led to him being the go-to person on presidential elections for both national and local media outlets (see the Cambria Press post on this). Given that the book has been recommended by CHOICE for being “a solid, well-composed work of research” and “an important, if not definitive, study of the subject,” he is also the natural choice in learning more about the 2016 elections. And just in time: Dr. Alexander’s most recent article was just published today in the Cleveland Plain Dealer!

Dr. Alexander’s book has also been lauded by eminent political scientists: Gary E. Bugh (Texas A&M University) declares that it is “indispensible,” Michael Genovese (Loyola Marymount University) praises it for its “exhaustive research” and for being an “eye opener,” and Tom Cronin (Colorado College) calls it “valuable and much needed.”

The book has caught the attention not only of academics but politicians as well. Mark Ritchie, Minnesota Secretary of State, puts it best when he says “Dr. Alexander has brought this very important history to life in a way that can help all of us look more carefully into the future. With lots of current public debate about the future of the Electoral College, this book provides a comprehensive and much-needed examination of one of the challenges that we have faced since the founding of our nation.”

This book is in the Politics, Institutions, and Public Policy in America book series by Scott Frisch and Sean Kelly.

And don’t forget the unbeatable special $39.95 price for the hardcover political-science titles ends at the end of this month, see the Cambria Press special for this and act quickly!

Recommend this Cambria Press book today! There are affordable Cambria Press e-book versions of this title too.

Professors, if you would like to use this for your class, refer your librarian to the Cambria Press Desk Copy Plus Program that helps you get free versions for your students!

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Which 2016 presidential candidate will have the edge?

Cambria Press American Presidency

Jockeying for the American Presidency

It is only the summer of 2013, but the presidential race is on! There is no question that the presidential aspirants will need to work with the media to get their game on, but what are the characteristics that will give one candidate the edge over the others? Dr. Lara M. Brown, author of the extremely well-reviewed Jockeying for the American Presidency: The Political Opportunism of Aspirants (Cambria Press, 2010) has been the go-to expert on these issues. She rightly declares that “our politics are filled with the beginnings of stories that are begging for deeper investigation and more fact-finding. News, not spin or entertainment, need to be revived if our public space is to flourish in this era of Internet democracy.” Read her recent insightful article on this.

Check this book at the Cambria Press booth (810) at 2013 APSA annual meeting in Chicago in just two weeks!

Recommend this Cambria Press book today! There are affordable Cambria Press e-book versions of this title too.

Professors, if you would like to use this for your class, refer your librarian to the Cambria Press Desk Copy Plus Program that helps you get free versions for your students!

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Hillary Clinton, Rand Paul, or Marco Rubio for 2016?

 

Clinton, Paul, or Rubio? See what the 2012 Electoral College results predict in Presidential Electors and the Electoral College (Cambria Press, 2012)!

Clinton, Paul, or Rubio? See what the 2012 Electoral College results predict in Presidential Electors and the Electoral College (Cambria Press, 2012)! Image from Politico.com

As speculation rises as to who will be running in 2016, the highly praised Presidential Electors and the Electoral College (Cambria Press, 2012) by Robert Alexander provides novel insights about stealth campaigns to change the votes of presidential electors in recent elections. This book is in the Politics, Institutions, and Public Policy in America book series by Scott Frisch and Sean Kelly.

Check this book at the Cambria Press booth (810) at 2013 APSA annual meeting in Chicago in just two weeks!

Recommend this Cambria Press book today! There are affordable Cambria Press e-book versions of this title too.

Professors, if you would like to use this for your class, refer your librarian to the Cambria Press Desk Copy Plus Program that helps you get free versions for your students!

* * * * * * * *

STAY POSTED! LIKE Cambria Press on Facebook, follow Cambria Press on Twitter, and share this news from Cambria Press on Google+!

Visit the Cambria Press website www.cambriapress.com